Trade Setup

The combination of back-to-back cool inflation data, a surging Empire State index, and dovish central bank commentary has injected massive upward momentum into risk assets today.

📊 Market Dashboard (10:45 AM ET)

• Bitcoin (BTC): $64,680 (+3.5%) — Slicing through resistance lines after the soft PPI print.
• Strive Inc. (ASST): $12.56 (+6.17%) — Surging as its daily 13% APR dividend and BTC accumulation strategy benefit from the macro tailwinds.
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.12% (-5 bps) — Dropping sharply as fixed-income traders' price in a higher probability of Fed rate cuts

🔑 Core Catalyst Synergy

• The Macro Tailwinds: June CPI (-0.4%) and June PPI (-0.3%) have delivered a decisive one-two punch to inflation hawks. Combined with regional New York manufacturing exploding to 15.6, the market is celebrating a classic "soft landing" goldilocks scenario.
• The Central Bank Split: NY Fed President Williams gave a green light to risk assets by declaring inflation has "peaked." Simultaneously, Fed Chair Warsh is maintaining a strict hawkish posture on Capitol Hill, preventing the bond market from over-extending its rate-cut rally.

🎯 Key Levels & Strategy Setup

1. Bitcoin & Crypto 

• The Setup: Bitcoin is testing the upper bounds of its recent trading range. A sustained close above $65,000 flips structural macro-resistance into support.
• The Play: Momentum traders are eyeing stocks like ASST and MSTR to capture leveraged bets on this breakout. Support for BTC sits firmly at $63,200.

2. Fixed Income & Equities

• The Setup: Yields are collapsing on the deflationary data, giving a major boost to tech and growth stocks.
• The Play: Watch the 10-year yield support at 4.10%. If it breaks lower, expect a massive afternoon squeeze in small-caps and long-duration equities

If you want to tailor this setup, tell me:

• Do you want specific support and resistance targets for any other mega-cap tech stocks?
• Should I add a watchlist for Strategy (MSTR) or Coinbase (COIN) to match your crypto asset view?
• Would you like the upcoming Federal Reserve blackout dates before the July 29 meeting?