For the upcoming week of March 9–15, 2026, the economic calendar is dominated by critical inflation data from the United States and China, alongside high volatility due to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
United States Economic Highlights
- Monday, March 9:
- Consumer Inflation Expectations (Feb): New York Fed's survey of future price perception.
- Employment Trends Index: Comprehensive view of labor market conditions.
- Tuesday, March 10:
- Existing Home Sales (Feb): Performance of the housing market.
- ADP Weekly Employment Change: Snapshot of private sector job growth.
- Wednesday, March 11:
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Feb):
- Headline CPI: Forecasted to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 2.4% year-over-year.
- Core CPI: Expected at 0.2% monthly growth.
- Real Earnings: Tracking inflation-adjusted wage growth.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Feb):
- Thursday, March 12:
- Jobless Claims: Weekly update on unemployment filings.
- Balance of Trade: US trade deficit/surplus for January.
- Friday, March 13:
- Core PCE Price Index (Jan): The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
- GDP (Q4, 2nd estimate): Revised data on late 2025 economic growth.
- Personal Income and Spending: Tracking consumer financial health.
International Economic Events
- China: February inflation data (CPI/PPI) and trade figures for the start of 2026 will be released. Analysts expect CPI to accelerate to 0.8%.
- Eurozone: The Eurogroup meets on March 9 to discuss macroeconomic developments and the 2026 Belgian budget.
- United Kingdom: GDP data for January and the KPMG / REC Report on Jobs are scheduled for release.
- Japan: Final Q4 2025 GDP data is expected to show an expansion of 0.3%, supported by capital expenditure.
- Canada: Unemployment rate and trade balance data are on the agenda for late in the week.
Energy & Geopolitics
- OPEC & IEA: Both organizations will release monthly reports (Wednesday, March 11) detailing the impact of Middle East supply shocks on global oil markets.
Would you like a more detailed breakdown of the economic forecasts or specific Treading schedules for next week?
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