Trade Setup

Published on August 4, 2026 at 10:53 AM

Wall Street surged to historic highs in morning trading, with both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average clinching all-time records. A powerful combination of strong AI-driven earnings forecasts and growing optimism over a U.S.-Iran diplomatic resolution sparked an aggressive wave of buying across risk assets. 

âš¡ Main Trade Setup Drivers

  1. The Bessent Strait Breakthrough: Oil prices collapsed after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on CNBC that the U.S. and Iran "may have a deal today or tomorrow" to officially reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz. This potential breakthrough dramatically lowered macro inflation expectations and relieved supply-chain anxieties. 
  2. AI Earnings Blowouts: Palantir (PLTR) soared 14.8% after reporting a massive 90% YoY surge in U.S. commercial and government software revenues. Industrial giant Caterpillar (CAT) simultaneously leaped on high-performing equipment demand, reinforcing an exceptionally strong corporate fundamentals floor. 
  3. Goldilocks Employment Data: June JOLTS Job Openings came in steady at 7.4 million. This met analyst projections perfectly, confirming that the U.S. labor market is cooling down gently without falling into a hard-landing scenario ahead of Friday's payrolls. 

Bitcoin and Strive, Inc. (ASST) are showing strong intraday alignment, catching a steady lift from the broader record-breaking equity rally. Bitcoin is trading at $63,679.02, recovering firmly from its earlier lows, while ASST has edged up 0.93% to $11.91.

âš¡ Technical Setup & Order Flow Catalysts

  • Quantum Breach FUD Fades: A temporary morning dip triggered by a $100 million hardware wallet breach and quantum threat headlines was rapidly bought up. The broader market shifted back to a macro-driven relief squeeze. 
  • Beta Mirroring Intact: As a dedicated Bitcoin Treasury Corporation, ASST is actively mirroring BTC's micro-liquidity swings. The equity is recovering from its local $11.11 baseline hit earlier in the week. 
  • Institutional Pricing Delta: Despite recent small-cap pressure and a late July price-target trim from TD Cowen to $28.00, ASST continues to see defensive options interest as its underlying asset management AUM sits firmly above $2 billion. 

🎯 Key Execution Trading Zones

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Immediate overhead resistance sits at $63,818. Clearing this opens a clear trajectory back toward the $64,500 level, while trailing macro support locks in tightly at $63,000. 
  • Strive, Inc. (ASST): Bulls are actively working to flip the $12.00 psychological level back into support. Successfully holding above this floor points to a secondary retest of $12.28, while structural support sits lower at $11.74.

If you want to track order flow or position metrics for the morning, tell me if I should check:

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